2-4 SEPTEMBER 2011 Scenario event of The European House/Ambrosetti.
VILLA D’ESTE, CERNOBBIO (LAKE COMO), ITALY
On the agenda in 2011:
The global economic outlook; the new Mediterranean; the future: scientific developments and
information and communication technologies.
For Europe: the future of the Euro; competitiveness and labor flexibility; a look at the European
Union,
There will be a special focus on India.
As always, Sunday will be devoted to Europe and a more in-depth look at current politics and
economics in Italy with the presence of the Italian government.
For the annual meeting of “Scenario”, The European House/Ambrosetti brings together 200 top
decision-makers.
For more information on this exclusive international gathering of heads of states and governments,
ministers, EU commissioners, experts and senior executives on Lake Como, contact Barbara Erskine
at
The AIDS epidemic turns 30 next month. What began as a
fatal new plague has become a treatable, if still incurable, chronic
illness. That change counts as a triumph by any measure, but it also
poses an unusually difficult question for the next 30 years.
Date:Wednesday 1 December 2010 Time:12:30 pm - 2:00 pm Venue:John Snow Lecture Theatre, LSHTM,
Keppel Street , London WC1E 7HT
The session features a
preview of the forthcoming aids2031book "AIDS:
Taking a long-term view",
to be published by FT Science Press and available from December 13.
aids2031is a
consortium of partners who came together to look at what we have
learned about the AIDS response in the first three decades chart
options to achieve the best possible outcome for the future. The
year 2031 will mark 50 years of AIDS—aids2031is not
about what we should do in 2031, but what we can do differently now,
to change the face of the pandemicby
2031. (www.aids2031.org)
Speakers:
Peter Piot,
Director of the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine and
former Executive Director of UNAIDS
Geoffrey Garnett,
Professor, Imperial College London, chair of the aids2031 Modeling
Group
Justin Parkhurst,
Lecturer in Health Policy, London School of Hygiene and Tropical
Medicine, aids2031 Working Group on Social Drivers
Alvaro Bermejo,
Executive Director, International AIDS Alliance, aids2031 working
group on Financing and costing
Peter Colenso,
Head of Human Development Department, Policy Division, DFID2
Moderator:
Heidi
Larson,
aids2031 Director
AIDS: Taking a long-term viewtakes a long-term view of
the pandemic’s possible progress according to a variety of
scenarios which anticipate funding changes, potential, yet uncertain,
breakthrough discoveries, virus evolution, legal reform and political
and social changes. The book concludes with a comprehensive set of
recommendations.
Sharply
reducing the number of new infections and AIDS deaths by 2031
requires new ways of thinking about AIDS and responding to the
challenges that the pandemic poses.
This
is the message of AIDS: Taking a Long-term View, a new
book to be published on December 13th by FT Press Science (ISBN 13:
9780132172592, $34.99, Hardcover, 224 pages). This publication is
the result of three years of work of the aids2031 Consortium. This
effort, conceived on the 25th anniversary of AIDS, is a
guide as we move forward towards the year 2031, which will mark 50
years since AIDS was first reported.
The
findings of aids2031 make a compelling case for an HIV prevention
revolution—we must now empower a new generation of young leadership
to irreversibly break the trajectory of the epidemic and strive
towards Zero new HIV infections. Michel Sidibé,
Executive Director of UNAIDS
In
this short, concise and to-the-point analysis, the report traces the
responses to the AIDS challenge over the past thirty years, putting
together the knowledge, expertise and analysis brought to the table
by this impressive group of AIDS experts, policymakers, social and
biomedical scientists, international development specialists and
community activists, to come up with a roadmap of what needs to be
done to really make a difference in the future of AIDS.
It
is clear that it is time to redesign the response to AIDS and replace
the reactive, short-term approach with proactive, long term
measures addressing what is a generations’ long challenge.
Peter Piot, Director of
the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine.
With
our best efforts, one million annual new infections are still likely
to occur in 2031 and, if our current efforts are reduced, we will see
even more.
In
Southern Africa, aids2031 has helped us think hard about how national
responses can balance the short- term pressures with the long-term
perspective of the epidemic.
Achmat Dangour, CEO,
Nelson Mandela Foundation.
Conclusions
of the report lay down the foundations of what must be done now to
significantly reduce new infections and AIDS deaths. It requires new
prevention and treatment tools, sound policies to optimize the
effectiveness of programs, innovative approaches to AIDS financing,
the creation of strong and durable capacity in countries, transition
from a focus on individuals to one that views communities as critical
fulcrums for success, and management practices to maximize efficiency
and effectiveness.
Efficiency
is at the core of a redesigned AIDS response. Generating knowledge
and using it better for more effective results is a core message of
aids2031. Stefano Bertozzi, Director, HIV and Tuberculosis, The
Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation
The
aids2031 Consortium includes nine thematic working groups on the
topics of modeling, science and technology, social drivers, the
programmatic response, financing, communication, leadership, a
special look at hyperendemic countries (Southern Africa), and
countries in rapid economic transition (focusing on China, India,
Indonesia, Malaysia, and Thailand). These nine groups, along with a
group of aids2031 young leaders, engaged over 500 people around the
world in discussions, debates, and issue-specific analyses on the
current and future state of AIDS. Visit: www.aids2031.org
About FT Press
Science
The
life sciences revolution is transforming our world as profoundly as
the industrial and information revolutions did in the last two
centuries. FT Press Science(www.ftpress.com) is committed to
publishing scientific and health related books that discuss issues
sometimes deemed controversial, ranging from genetics to global
warming. FT Press Science captures the excitement and promise
of the new life sciences, bringing breakthrough knowledge to everyprofessional and interested citizen. We publish tomorrow’s
indispensable work in genetics, evolution, neuroscience, medicine,
biotech, environmental science, and emerging scientific fields.
For
media interviews and more information on the book contact :Barbara
Erskine (for aids2031) : Tel: +4179
202 4528 Email: andLaura Czaja (for
FT Press)Tel: +1
212-641-6627 Email:
Leadership
Working papers (www.aids2031.org)
• Official government justifications and public ARV provision: A comparison of Brazil,
Thailand and South Africa
• A cross-country analysis of the determinants of antiretroviral drug coverage
• Networks of influence: A theoretical review and proposed approach to AIDS
treatment activism
• Are country reputations for good and bad leadership on AIDS deserved?
• Transnational networks of influence in South African AIDS treatment activism
• Government leadership and ARV provision in developing countries
Video resources (www.aids2031.org)
• Leadership spotlight: Gracia Violeta Ross (Video)
Meetings
• In March 2008, aids2031 brought 40 leaders, aged under 40, from around the world
for a Young Leaders Summit to discuss how to spark new leadership around AIDS
• A 2nd Young Leaders Summit, attracting 30 participants, was held in June 2009 in
Oslo, Norway. Meeting outcomes included a 5% for the Future campaign to have
donors commit to funding youth-led initiatives; the establishment of a Young Leaders
Fund to resource youth AIDS efforts; a Mentorship Hub for emerging leaders to
access; and research and guidelines on the need for more meaningful engagement
of young people living with HIV in policy and programs. Science and technology
Working papers (www.aids2031.org)
• aids2031 Science and Technology Working Group: A review of progress to date and
current prospects
• HIV eradication: Is it feasible?
• Spurring innovation for the development of HIV/AIDS technologies
• Are you experienced? Using the latest lessons learned from marketing research on
consumer experience to improve the research and development of new HIV
prevention technologies
• Antiretroviral products for HIV prevention: Looking towards 2031
• Community engagement in HIV prevention trials: Evolution of the field and
opportunities for growth
• Emerging trends in HIV pathogenesis and treatment
• Increased access to diagnostic tests for HIV case management Final report (www.aids2031.org)
• Advancing Science and Technology to Change the Future of the AIDS Pandemic: A
report from the aids2031 Science and Technology Working Group Financing
Working papers (www.aids2031.org)
• The future role of the philanthropy sector fighting HIV & AIDS
• Cost-effective interventions that focus on most-at-risk populations
• Fiscal space and political space: Implications for aids2031
• HIV and AIDS programs: How they support health systems strengthening
• The evolution and future of donor assistance for HIV/AIDS
• The past, present and future of HIV/AIDS and resource allocation
• Assessing costing and prioritization in National AIDS Strategic Plans
• What works to prevent and treat AIDS: A review of cost-effectiveness literature with a
long-term perspective
• The cost of antiretrovirals: Maximizing value for money
• Strategic planning in Honduras: A case study
• Estimating long-term global resource needs for AIDS through 2031 Other publications
• The long-run costings and financing of HIV/AIDS in Cambodia (Results for
Development Institute)
• The long-run costings and financing of HIV/AIDS in South Africa (Results for
Development Institute and Centre for Economic Governance, and AIDS in Africa –
CEGAA)
• Critical choices in financing the response to the global HIV/AIDS pandemic (Health
Affairs, Vol. 28, No. 6)
• Financing of HIV/AIDS programme scale-up in low-income and middle-income
countries, 2009–31 (The Lancet Vol. 376 October 9, 2010) Final report (www.aids2031.org)
• Costs and Choices: Financing the long-term fight against AIDS Social drivers Working papers (www.aids2031.org)
• From risk-takers and victims to Young Leaders: Towards a different international
AIDS response for young people
• Know your global crisis: What the AIDS industry might learn from the population story
• Re-thinking schooling in Africa: Education in an era of HIV & AIDS
• Addressing social drivers of HIV/AIDS: Some conceptual, methodological, and
evidentiary considerations Final report (www.aids2031.org)
• Revolutionizing the AIDS Response: Building AIDS Resilient Communities Additional resources
• The emergence of effective “AIDS Response Coalitions”: A comparison of Uganda
and South Africa
• Building AIDS competent communities: Possibilities and challenges
• Sex, rights and the law in a world of AIDS - Meeting report and recommendations
• "This life is different": Street children's sexual realities & the APSA-Sexual Health
Intervention Program
• Caught between the tiger and the crocodile: The campaign to suppress human
trafficking and sexual exploitation in Cambodia
• Comprehensive LGBTQ-inclusive sexual health care for youth in state custody as a
human right: The Teen SENSE Initiative
• Gender, HIV/AIDS and the law in Zimbabwe
• Safe and consensual sex: Are women empowered enough to negotiate?
• Men's gender inequality perceptions influence their higher-risk sex in northern India
• Jessica Ogden, Understanding and Addressing Structural Factors in HIV Prevention,
2008 Mexico AIDS Conference (Video)
(Papers from the Social Drivers Working Group will be published in a Special Supplement of
Global Public Health in December 2011.) Meetings and workshops
• The Social Drivers Working Group organized a Workshop on Mobilizing Social
Capital in a World with AIDS, in Salzburg, Austria in March 2009, attracting 23
participants. Findings from the workshop and panel discussion were presented in the
paper.
• Mobilizing social capital in a world with AIDS: Meeting report and recommendations
• Three workshops and public conversations were held in Senegal, Ghana and
Worcester, Mass, USA Programmatic response Working papers (www.aids2031.org)
• Is AIDS exceptional? Final report (www.aids2031.org)
• Making choices, embracing complexity, driving and managing change: The HIV
programmatic response over the next generation Additional resources (www.aids2031.org)
• November 2008 Constituency Consultation - Meeting recommendations Communication Working papers (www.aids2031.org)
• Future connect: A review of social networking today, tomorrow and beyond and
challenges for AIDS communicators
• Aids2031 Communication Working Group recommendations
• The Evolution of HIV/AIDS Communications – Executive Summary Final report (www.aids2031.org)
• Aids2031 Communication Working Group final report. Other publications
• Recommendations from the Communication Working Group were featured in the
Communication for Social Change (CFSC) on-line report (Mazi) in January 2010
together with a photo essay: Public Conversations in Cameroon About AIDS. Additional resources
• The Communication Working Group also produced a Learning DVD entitled Public
Conversations for Social Change. It discusses how to facilitate public conversations
on sensitive community issues that may not be readily discussed in communities. It
includes examples on how to create safe spaces for discussions from public
conversations held in Mexico, Cameroon, Senegal, San Francisco, and Jamaica. The
DVD can be ordered from www.cfsc.org. Hyperendemic Areas Working papers (www.aids2031.org)
• After a series of readers meeting to support research the working group produced
two papers on Leadership and Financing as they relate to hyperendemic countries.
Final report (www.aids2031.org)
• Turning off the tap: Understanding and overcoming the HIV epidemic in Southern
Africa Meetings and workshops
• The Hyperendemic Countries Working Group held consultative meetings with
stakeholders in Lesotho, Mozambique and South Africa (to meetings). A final meeting
to define the group’s legacy for the future is planned to take place soon. Countries in Rapid Economic Transition Papers
Several members of the working group have produced papers based on the group’s work,
including:
• Migration, mobility and health behaviours: What impact on the future of AIDS in Asia
by Michael Chai
• Asia’s New Youth: The Awakening of ICT and its Impact on AIDS by James Chau
• Emerging Drugs of Abuse in Asia by Jing Jun Final report (www.aids2031.org)
• Asian economies in rapid transition: HIV now and through 2031 Modelling Working papers (www.aids2031.org)
• Costing the National HIV/AIDS Response to 2031 and Modeling its Impact to 2031 in
South Africa – Considering Different Scale-up Scenarios (publication in progress)
• Modeling the HIV pandemic up to 2031: from an epidemic to an endemic disease
Additional resources (www.aids2031.org)
• Geoff Garnett, interview at the Mexico AIDS Conference (Video)
Meetings and workshops
• Results from the Modelling Group were presented at July 2009 conference of the
International Society for STD Research in an oral session on Modeling the Future of
the HIV Pandemic
• The Modelling Group made two presentations and mounted a poster display at
AIDS2031 in Vienna, July 2010
• The Modelling Group held a workshop in London in April 2009 the main papers from
which were developed into a supplement for the BMJ publication Sexually
Transmitted Infections.
• Modelling group results were also presented to the Institute of Medicine Committee
on Envisioning a Long-term Strategy for HIV.
Video and broadcast media (www.aids2031.org)
Love in the Time of HIV (BBC World TV Series)
• Tender Moments: The story of Tender Mavundla, 27-year-old singer from Soweto.
• From Russia: Exploring the love and relationships among a group of young friends in
St Petersburg who have HIV.
• I Love New York: Christina talks openly about how she copes with her treatment
• A Positive Match: Following two women as they prepare for the future.
• Labour of Love: Andrew, a haemophiliac who was injected with contaminated blood,
contracted HIV when he was a child.
Interviews
• Frika Chia Iskandar, Coordinator, WAPN+
• Dr. Stefano Bertozzi, Chair, aids2031 Steering Committee
• Geoff Garnett, PhD, Co-convener, aids2031 Modelling Working Group
• Nonkosi Khumalo, Chairperson, Treatment Action Campaign's National Executive
Council
• Sir George Alleyne, aids2031 International Advisory Group
• Violeta Ross, AIDS activist, Bolivia
• Kevin Frost, CEO amFAR
• Frika Chia Iskandar, Coordinator, WAPN+
• Dr. Stefano Bertozzi, Chair, aids2031 Steering Committee
• Geoff Garnett, PhD, Co-convener, aids2031 Modelling Working Group
• Nonkosi Khumalo, Chairperson, Treatment Action Campaign's National Executive
Council
• Sir George Alleyne, aids2031 International Advisory Group
• Violeta Ross, AIDS activist, Bolivia
• Kevin Frost, CEO amFAR Presentations
• Dr. Anthony Fauci, aids2031 International Advisory Group, Looking to the Future: The
Epidemic in 2031 and New Directions in AIDS Research
• Peter Piot, Ex-officio Member, aids2031 Steering Committee, Coming to Terms with
Complexity: A Call to Action for HIV Prevention
• Jessica Ogden, aids2031 Social Drivers Working Group, Understanding and
Addressing Structural Factors in HIV Prevention
• aids2031 Launch, Davos, Switzerland, Jan. 2008 Programmes
• Changing the Face of the Pandemic by 2031
• I am a leader because...
• What do these issues have to do with AIDS?
• Profile: San Francisco and the AIDS Response
